The recent "snowbomb" that dumped 36"+ in a razor-thin stripe extending from South Buffalo eastward along the Cheektowaga/Depew border is beginning to unravel, but will still bring a few inches of additional snowfall to locations south of Buffalo as it sinks toward ski country overnight tonight. This event was arguably the third most disruptive lake effect storm in recent western New York history, ranking behind the infamous "October Surprise" of 2006 and the "Gridlock Storm" of November 2000...the latter having a much larger impact in the immediate vicinity of downtown Buffalo than this current event. So where do we go from here?
The next couple of days look relatively quiet in western New York. Sunshine will be hard to come by, as is typically the case at this time of year...but most locations will receive little snow of consequence. The exception may be across Chautauqua County tomorrow afternoon and evening where winds may line up just right to establish a brief connection with Lake Huron, resulting in a period of lake effect snow that may add up to a few inches along the Chautauqua Ridge. Not a huge deal, and continued light wind speeds will make blowing/drifting a non-issue...but there may be some slippery roads if you'll be traveling in that direction for whatever reason.
Things will begin to change as we head deeper into the weekend....and the period from Sunday through at least the middle of next week (potentially even beyond that) is looking like a very wintry period throughout western New York. I don't foresee any "epic" lake effect snowstorms that will dump feet at a time....but it will be snowing almost constantly, and I would anticipate at least a light accumulation in most spots each and every day. In the higher terrain south of Buffalo (from the Boston Hills down into the Southern Tier) the snowfall may be somewhat more significant with perhaps a few inches falling per day...and over the course of 5-6 days this may add up to fairly hefty amounts. Very cold temperatures will result in a more powdery snow, and blustery west to northwest winds will allow that snow to blow and drift...particularly in the open countryside where travel on north-south roads could become rather tricky. Be sure to check my facebook page for updates!
Thursday, December 2, 2010
Saturday, November 27, 2010
Wednesday, November 3, 2010
Wednesday Evening Update
.New England...
Showers will overspread SNH/MA around midday tomorrow. These showers will eventually give way to a 4-5hr period of steady rainfall...most likely within the 2-8PM timeframe...but I still don't expect the rain to be particularly heavy. It will be a chilly rain with temperatures hovering in the 40s.
The steady rain will taper off to occasional showers for the majority of tomorrow night...but it now appears that a plume of much heavier rainfall will be directed into portions of New England from Friday morning into the early part of Friday afternoon. I'm not sure if this plume of heavy rain will extend much farther north/west than the I-95 corridor...but in southeast MA we could experience several hours of drenching downpours, which may result in some localized flash flooding. In addition to the heavy rainfall, there is a low risk that damaging SSE wind gusts may develop across southeast MA as well...especially if thunderstorms become embedded within the plume of heavy rainfall. Again, locations north/west of I-95 may not have to worry about any of this...but since we are still more than 24 hours away from this event, I'm not ruling anything out at this point.
Conditions will dramatically improve later Friday into Friday night...and the weekend looks to feature a mix of clouds and sun, chilly temperatures, and a brisk breeze out of the NW.
.Western New York...
Periods of mainly light rain will develop across western New York late tomorrow evening or during the wee hours of Friday morning, and continue through the day Friday. As the airmass begins to cool, the rain will gradually mix with then change to snow. The changeover will first occur on the highest hilltops of the southern tier where a few wet flakes could mix in as early as daybreak Friday...and last along the immediate lakeshore, as well as in the Buffalo metro area where the changeover may not occur until after sunset Friday evening. Regardless, even the lowest elevations will ultimately see a change to snow with a light slushy accumulation possible by early Saturday morning.
Right now I'm thinking accumulations will range from a slushy coating (mainly on grassy surfaces and cartops) along the immediate lakeshore and in the Buffalo metro area...to as much as 4" at elevations above 1800 feet south of Buffalo. The snow will gradually wind down during the day Saturday.
Showers will overspread SNH/MA around midday tomorrow. These showers will eventually give way to a 4-5hr period of steady rainfall...most likely within the 2-8PM timeframe...but I still don't expect the rain to be particularly heavy. It will be a chilly rain with temperatures hovering in the 40s.
The steady rain will taper off to occasional showers for the majority of tomorrow night...but it now appears that a plume of much heavier rainfall will be directed into portions of New England from Friday morning into the early part of Friday afternoon. I'm not sure if this plume of heavy rain will extend much farther north/west than the I-95 corridor...but in southeast MA we could experience several hours of drenching downpours, which may result in some localized flash flooding. In addition to the heavy rainfall, there is a low risk that damaging SSE wind gusts may develop across southeast MA as well...especially if thunderstorms become embedded within the plume of heavy rainfall. Again, locations north/west of I-95 may not have to worry about any of this...but since we are still more than 24 hours away from this event, I'm not ruling anything out at this point.
Conditions will dramatically improve later Friday into Friday night...and the weekend looks to feature a mix of clouds and sun, chilly temperatures, and a brisk breeze out of the NW.
.Western New York...
Periods of mainly light rain will develop across western New York late tomorrow evening or during the wee hours of Friday morning, and continue through the day Friday. As the airmass begins to cool, the rain will gradually mix with then change to snow. The changeover will first occur on the highest hilltops of the southern tier where a few wet flakes could mix in as early as daybreak Friday...and last along the immediate lakeshore, as well as in the Buffalo metro area where the changeover may not occur until after sunset Friday evening. Regardless, even the lowest elevations will ultimately see a change to snow with a light slushy accumulation possible by early Saturday morning.
Right now I'm thinking accumulations will range from a slushy coating (mainly on grassy surfaces and cartops) along the immediate lakeshore and in the Buffalo metro area...to as much as 4" at elevations above 1800 feet south of Buffalo. The snow will gradually wind down during the day Saturday.
Tuesday, November 2, 2010
Updated Thoughts on Late Week Weather
.Brief period of strong easterly winds to affect SE New England late THU...
A weak low pressure system is expected to develop along a coastal front in the vicinity of the North Carolina Outer Banks Wednesday night...and as this low pressure system travels up the coast, it will combine with a strengthening high pressure system east of the Canadian Maritimes to produce a brief period of 20-30kt easterly winds across coastal sections of southeast New England. This will primarily occur from late Thursday afternoon into Thursday evening, and it will mainly be an issue for the Cape/Islands.
.SLIGHT chance of high winds/convection in SE New England on Friday...
A second and much stronger coastal storm is expected to develop off the Mid-Atlantic coastline Thursday evening. While forecast confidence remains lower-than-average at this point...more than half of the 15z SREF members are nudging a warm front into SE New England late Thursday night or early Friday morning, in direct response to the increasing southerly LLJ east of the developing coastal storm. Locations south/east of the warm front could experience a rapid rise in temperature from the 40s/50s into the 60s (with similar dewpoint temperatures), accompanied by the development of very strong winds out of the SSE. Convection may also develop within the warm sector, which may result in an enhanced risk of damaging winds. The passage of the warm front will depend entirely on the track of the surface low, and there is a chance that the warm front will NOT reach southeast New England in which case high winds/convection will not develop. It is only a slight possibility at the moment.
.Season's first snowfall likely in the hills of western NY Friday/Friday Night...
An unusually deep upper level trough is expected to dig into the Great Lakes Friday into Friday night. The combination of dPVA, very steep mlvl lapse rates, moist cyclonic flow, and moderate to extreme lake-induced instability will result in a pseudo-LES/upslope type situation with frequent snow showers/squalls across the majority of western NY during this time period. Surface temperatures may be slightly too warm for an accumulating snowfall at lower elevations, but locations above 1000' could experience a general 1-4" snowfall by early Saturday morning.
A weak low pressure system is expected to develop along a coastal front in the vicinity of the North Carolina Outer Banks Wednesday night...and as this low pressure system travels up the coast, it will combine with a strengthening high pressure system east of the Canadian Maritimes to produce a brief period of 20-30kt easterly winds across coastal sections of southeast New England. This will primarily occur from late Thursday afternoon into Thursday evening, and it will mainly be an issue for the Cape/Islands.
.SLIGHT chance of high winds/convection in SE New England on Friday...
A second and much stronger coastal storm is expected to develop off the Mid-Atlantic coastline Thursday evening. While forecast confidence remains lower-than-average at this point...more than half of the 15z SREF members are nudging a warm front into SE New England late Thursday night or early Friday morning, in direct response to the increasing southerly LLJ east of the developing coastal storm. Locations south/east of the warm front could experience a rapid rise in temperature from the 40s/50s into the 60s (with similar dewpoint temperatures), accompanied by the development of very strong winds out of the SSE. Convection may also develop within the warm sector, which may result in an enhanced risk of damaging winds. The passage of the warm front will depend entirely on the track of the surface low, and there is a chance that the warm front will NOT reach southeast New England in which case high winds/convection will not develop. It is only a slight possibility at the moment.
.Season's first snowfall likely in the hills of western NY Friday/Friday Night...
An unusually deep upper level trough is expected to dig into the Great Lakes Friday into Friday night. The combination of dPVA, very steep mlvl lapse rates, moist cyclonic flow, and moderate to extreme lake-induced instability will result in a pseudo-LES/upslope type situation with frequent snow showers/squalls across the majority of western NY during this time period. Surface temperatures may be slightly too warm for an accumulating snowfall at lower elevations, but locations above 1000' could experience a general 1-4" snowfall by early Saturday morning.
Sunday, October 31, 2010
My Wx Notes: Sunday 10/31
Tonight: Becoming mostly clear and cold! First hard freeze of the season with temps dropping to near 31F. OWD may dip into the 20s late if winds lighten up enough.
Tomorrow: A generally sunny start will yield to a mix of sun/clouds in the afternoon. Breezy and chilly with highs ranging from 46-50F.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly clear and cold. Low near 31F in Norwood Center...but as low as the mid 20s at OWD. Light winds will make the cold temps easier to take.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny and chilly, but with lighter wind speeds. High 46-50F.
Tuesday Night: Clear, still quite cold. Low near 34F in Norwood Center...upper 20s at OWD.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny, seasonably chilly. High 48-52F.
Preliminary Thoughts on the Late Week Storm
There are still many details that need to be ironed out, but the probability of an intense storm system impacting the NEUS in the THU/FRI timeframe appears to be increasing IMO. At the moment, I'm favoring a storm track to the west of New England...which would place us on the milder side of the storm's circulation with heavy rain/wind being the primary concern. Most of the models are depicting a scenario in which the surface low gets captured by the mid-latitude trough that ultimately cuts off in the GL/OV...forcing it to angle in toward the coastline on a SE-NW track. Climatologically, this fits the prototype for an SNE high wind event...and some of our most destructive wind storms have resulted from a rapidly intensifying surface low approaching SNE from the SE. I'm not saying that will necessarily be the case this time around, but it certainly bears watching. We will also have to be on guard for the potential development of a fine line of low-topped convection in the vicinity of the surface cold front, which may result in an enhanced high wind threat as it travels from W-E or SW-NE across the region during the day on Friday.
All of this could change if the storm track shifts dramatically east/west on future model runs...something that is certainly within the realm of possibility for a storm that is still 4-5 days out. But for now, I am leaning toward the scenario described above...and I do believe this has the potential to be a high impact event across southeast MA.
Tomorrow: A generally sunny start will yield to a mix of sun/clouds in the afternoon. Breezy and chilly with highs ranging from 46-50F.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly clear and cold. Low near 31F in Norwood Center...but as low as the mid 20s at OWD. Light winds will make the cold temps easier to take.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny and chilly, but with lighter wind speeds. High 46-50F.
Tuesday Night: Clear, still quite cold. Low near 34F in Norwood Center...upper 20s at OWD.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny, seasonably chilly. High 48-52F.
Preliminary Thoughts on the Late Week Storm
There are still many details that need to be ironed out, but the probability of an intense storm system impacting the NEUS in the THU/FRI timeframe appears to be increasing IMO. At the moment, I'm favoring a storm track to the west of New England...which would place us on the milder side of the storm's circulation with heavy rain/wind being the primary concern. Most of the models are depicting a scenario in which the surface low gets captured by the mid-latitude trough that ultimately cuts off in the GL/OV...forcing it to angle in toward the coastline on a SE-NW track. Climatologically, this fits the prototype for an SNE high wind event...and some of our most destructive wind storms have resulted from a rapidly intensifying surface low approaching SNE from the SE. I'm not saying that will necessarily be the case this time around, but it certainly bears watching. We will also have to be on guard for the potential development of a fine line of low-topped convection in the vicinity of the surface cold front, which may result in an enhanced high wind threat as it travels from W-E or SW-NE across the region during the day on Friday.
All of this could change if the storm track shifts dramatically east/west on future model runs...something that is certainly within the realm of possibility for a storm that is still 4-5 days out. But for now, I am leaning toward the scenario described above...and I do believe this has the potential to be a high impact event across southeast MA.
Saturday, October 30, 2010
My Wx Notes: Saturday 10/30
Today: Generally sunny, a few wispy high clouds. Gusty SW wind likely to kick in by midday. High temps 56-60F.
Tonight: Mostly clear and breezy, much milder than last night. Temps holding near 50F for most of the night, but may quickly drop into the mid/upper 40s late depending on timing of FROPA.
Tomorrow: A sunny/milder start but stratocu likely to "bleed" southward from northern New England during the PM. Midday high as warm as 58-62F but temps likely to slip back through the 50s during the PM. Gusty NW wind developing by midday.
Tomorrow Night: Clearing skies, breezy and cold! Low near 31F.
Monday: Mix of sun/clouds (especially PM), breezy and chilly. High 46-50F.
Monday Night: Clear and cold, but much less wind. Low near 30F most spots, but wouldn't be shocked to see OWD dip as low as the mid 20s.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny and breezy, 46-50F again.
Tonight: Mostly clear and breezy, much milder than last night. Temps holding near 50F for most of the night, but may quickly drop into the mid/upper 40s late depending on timing of FROPA.
Tomorrow: A sunny/milder start but stratocu likely to "bleed" southward from northern New England during the PM. Midday high as warm as 58-62F but temps likely to slip back through the 50s during the PM. Gusty NW wind developing by midday.
Tomorrow Night: Clearing skies, breezy and cold! Low near 31F.
Monday: Mix of sun/clouds (especially PM), breezy and chilly. High 46-50F.
Monday Night: Clear and cold, but much less wind. Low near 30F most spots, but wouldn't be shocked to see OWD dip as low as the mid 20s.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny and breezy, 46-50F again.
Saturday, May 8, 2010
Friday, April 9, 2010
Wednesday, December 23, 2009
Forecast for Thursday 12/24
Today (Christmas Eve): Generally overcast, but not quite as cold. Highs ranging from 33 along the lakeshore...to 29 in Buffalo...to 27 north and east.
Tonight: Decreasing cloud cover, especially after midnight. Becoming windy along the immediate lakeshore and in the higher terrain south of Buffalo with gusts approaching 40 mph toward morning. Lows ranging from 33 along the lakeshore and in the higher terrain...to 25 in Buffalo...to around 20 north and east and in the sheltered valleys of the Southern Tier.
Tomorrow (Christmas): Increasing clouds with rain developing around 2-3PM. Rain may begin as a period of freezing rain in some elevated interior valleys across the Southern Tier. Becoming very windy along the immediate lakeshore and in the higher terrain south of Buffalo with gusts approaching 55 mph later in the day. Highs ranging from 40 along the lakeshore...to 37 in Buffalo...to 35 in some elevated Southern Tier valleys.
Tomorrow Night: Steady rain ending by 7PM, but remaining overcast with a chance of showers for the rest of the night. Very windy along the immediate lakeshore and in the higher terrain south of Buffalo with gusts approaching 60 mph at times...mainly through midnight. Temperatures holding steady around 40 near the lakeshore...to 37 in Buffalo...to 35 in some elevated Southern Tier valleys.
Saturday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers, mainly through 2-3PM. Diminishing winds along the immediate lakeshore and in the higher terrain south of Buffalo. Temperatures steady or slowly falling through the 30s.
Sunday: Mostly cloudy and colder with an increasing chance of snow showers. Localized areas of heavier lake effect snow developing in the evening...mainly south of Buffalo. High near 29. Low near 25.
Monday: Mostly cloudy and cold with a chance of snow showers. Localized areas of heavier lake effect snow...mainly south of Buffalo. High near 27. Low near 23.
Tuesday: Partly sunny windy and very cold with a chance of snow showers. High near 20. Low near 16.
Tonight: Decreasing cloud cover, especially after midnight. Becoming windy along the immediate lakeshore and in the higher terrain south of Buffalo with gusts approaching 40 mph toward morning. Lows ranging from 33 along the lakeshore and in the higher terrain...to 25 in Buffalo...to around 20 north and east and in the sheltered valleys of the Southern Tier.
Tomorrow (Christmas): Increasing clouds with rain developing around 2-3PM. Rain may begin as a period of freezing rain in some elevated interior valleys across the Southern Tier. Becoming very windy along the immediate lakeshore and in the higher terrain south of Buffalo with gusts approaching 55 mph later in the day. Highs ranging from 40 along the lakeshore...to 37 in Buffalo...to 35 in some elevated Southern Tier valleys.
Tomorrow Night: Steady rain ending by 7PM, but remaining overcast with a chance of showers for the rest of the night. Very windy along the immediate lakeshore and in the higher terrain south of Buffalo with gusts approaching 60 mph at times...mainly through midnight. Temperatures holding steady around 40 near the lakeshore...to 37 in Buffalo...to 35 in some elevated Southern Tier valleys.
Saturday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers, mainly through 2-3PM. Diminishing winds along the immediate lakeshore and in the higher terrain south of Buffalo. Temperatures steady or slowly falling through the 30s.
Sunday: Mostly cloudy and colder with an increasing chance of snow showers. Localized areas of heavier lake effect snow developing in the evening...mainly south of Buffalo. High near 29. Low near 25.
Monday: Mostly cloudy and cold with a chance of snow showers. Localized areas of heavier lake effect snow...mainly south of Buffalo. High near 27. Low near 23.
Tuesday: Partly sunny windy and very cold with a chance of snow showers. High near 20. Low near 16.
Tuesday, December 22, 2009
Forecast for Wednesday 12/23
Today: Clouds and limited sun with a chance of snow showers, mainly to the north and east of Buffalo. Sunshine will be a bit more prevalent across the Southern Tier. Brisk and cold with highs ranging from 25 in Buffalo to 21 in the higher terrain.
Tonight: Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers, mainly to the north and east of Buffalo. Lows ranging from the mid 20s along the lakeshore to near 20 in Buffalo...but dipping well into the teens in Southern Tier valleys.
Christmas Eve: Mostly cloudy with a chance of early morning snow showers to the north and east of Buffalo. Becoming mostly sunny elsewhere. Highs ranging from 32 along the lakeshore...to 29 in Buffalo...to 27 north and east.
Christmas Day: Mostly cloudy with rain likely in the afternoon...steadiest from 1PM until 4PM. Rain may begin as a period of freezing rain in some elevated interior valleys across the Southern Tier. High near 37. Low near 25.
Saturday: Mostly cloudy with rain likely, possibly changing to snow late in the day. High near 40. Low near 35.
Sunday: Partly to mostly cloudy and cold with snow showers and areas of lake effect snow. High near 28. Low near 24.
Monday: Partly to mostly cloudy and cold with snow showers and areas of lake effect snow. High near 23. Low near 19.
Tonight: Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers, mainly to the north and east of Buffalo. Lows ranging from the mid 20s along the lakeshore to near 20 in Buffalo...but dipping well into the teens in Southern Tier valleys.
Christmas Eve: Mostly cloudy with a chance of early morning snow showers to the north and east of Buffalo. Becoming mostly sunny elsewhere. Highs ranging from 32 along the lakeshore...to 29 in Buffalo...to 27 north and east.
Christmas Day: Mostly cloudy with rain likely in the afternoon...steadiest from 1PM until 4PM. Rain may begin as a period of freezing rain in some elevated interior valleys across the Southern Tier. High near 37. Low near 25.
Saturday: Mostly cloudy with rain likely, possibly changing to snow late in the day. High near 40. Low near 35.
Sunday: Partly to mostly cloudy and cold with snow showers and areas of lake effect snow. High near 28. Low near 24.
Monday: Partly to mostly cloudy and cold with snow showers and areas of lake effect snow. High near 23. Low near 19.
Wednesday, December 16, 2009
Special Notice
I will be away at Jay Peak VT from today into early next week. My next scheduled forecast will be posted on Tuesday, December 22nd. I apologize for any inconvenience this may cause, and thank you for your understanding.
Justin
Justin
Monday, December 14, 2009
Forecast for Tuesday 12/15
Today: Mostly cloudy and turning colder. Patchy drizzle gradually changing to a mix of drizzle and very light snow, with some pockets of freezing drizzle in the higher terrain south of Buffalo. A chance of heavier snow showers and perhaps a few snow squalls after 4PM. Temperatures slowly dropping to near 33 in Buffalo and 31 in the higher terrain.
Tonight: Mostly cloudy brisk and cold with a good chance of snow showers and a few scattered snow squalls. Activity becoming focused mainly north and east of Buffalo during the late night hours. An inch or two of accumulation in most spots, but locally up to 4" where snow squalls persist. Lows ranging from 25 in Buffalo to 21 in the higher terrain.
Tomorrow: Partly to mostly cloudy and cold with a chance of snow showers, mainly across the higher terrain south of Buffalo. Temperatures holding steady in the mid 20s in Buffalo and the lower 20s across the higher terrain.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy and cold with a chance of snow showers. Heavier lake effect snow developing across northern Chautauqua, northern Cattaraugus, and southern Erie Counties with several inches of accumulation possible. Lows ranging from 23 in Buffalo to 19 in the higher terrain.
Thursday: Mostly cloudy and cold with a good chance of snow showers and localized areas of heavier lake effect snow. Highs ranging from 19 in Batavia, to 22 in Buffalo, to the mid 20s near the Chautauqua County shoreline.
Friday: Partly to mostly sunny and cold. High near 22. Low near 17.
Saturday: Partly to mostly cloudy and cold. High near 23. Low near 17.
Sunday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. High near 24. Low near 19.
Tonight: Mostly cloudy brisk and cold with a good chance of snow showers and a few scattered snow squalls. Activity becoming focused mainly north and east of Buffalo during the late night hours. An inch or two of accumulation in most spots, but locally up to 4" where snow squalls persist. Lows ranging from 25 in Buffalo to 21 in the higher terrain.
Tomorrow: Partly to mostly cloudy and cold with a chance of snow showers, mainly across the higher terrain south of Buffalo. Temperatures holding steady in the mid 20s in Buffalo and the lower 20s across the higher terrain.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy and cold with a chance of snow showers. Heavier lake effect snow developing across northern Chautauqua, northern Cattaraugus, and southern Erie Counties with several inches of accumulation possible. Lows ranging from 23 in Buffalo to 19 in the higher terrain.
Thursday: Mostly cloudy and cold with a good chance of snow showers and localized areas of heavier lake effect snow. Highs ranging from 19 in Batavia, to 22 in Buffalo, to the mid 20s near the Chautauqua County shoreline.
Friday: Partly to mostly sunny and cold. High near 22. Low near 17.
Saturday: Partly to mostly cloudy and cold. High near 23. Low near 17.
Sunday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. High near 24. Low near 19.
Sunday, December 13, 2009
Forecast for Monday 12/13
Today: Mostly cloudy skies. Patchy fog/mist in the higher terrain south of Buffalo this morning. A chance of rain showers after 4PM. Highs ranging from 37 in Buffalo to 33 in the higher terrain.
Tonight: A chance of rain showers until 10PM, then remaining mostly cloudy with patchy drizzle. Areas of dense fog developing in the higher terrain south of Buffalo. Temperatures holding steady from 37 in Buffalo to 33 in the higher terrain.
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy and turning colder. Patchy drizzle gradually changing to a mix of drizzle and very light snow, with some pockets of freezing drizzle in the higher terrain south of Buffalo. A chance of heavier snow showers after 4PM. Temperatures slowly dropping to near 35 in Buffalo and 31 in the higher terrain.
Wednesday: Mostly cloudy brisk and cold with occasional snow showers. High near 27. Low near 23.
Thursday: A mix of sun and clouds, cold. A chance of snow showers and local lake snows, mainly south of Lake Ontario. High near 25. Low near 20.
Friday: A mix of sun and clouds with a chance of snow showers. High near 24. Low near 18.
Saturday: A mix of sun and clouds with a chance of snow showers. High near 26. Low near 17.
Tonight: A chance of rain showers until 10PM, then remaining mostly cloudy with patchy drizzle. Areas of dense fog developing in the higher terrain south of Buffalo. Temperatures holding steady from 37 in Buffalo to 33 in the higher terrain.
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy and turning colder. Patchy drizzle gradually changing to a mix of drizzle and very light snow, with some pockets of freezing drizzle in the higher terrain south of Buffalo. A chance of heavier snow showers after 4PM. Temperatures slowly dropping to near 35 in Buffalo and 31 in the higher terrain.
Wednesday: Mostly cloudy brisk and cold with occasional snow showers. High near 27. Low near 23.
Thursday: A mix of sun and clouds, cold. A chance of snow showers and local lake snows, mainly south of Lake Ontario. High near 25. Low near 20.
Friday: A mix of sun and clouds with a chance of snow showers. High near 24. Low near 18.
Saturday: A mix of sun and clouds with a chance of snow showers. High near 26. Low near 17.
Saturday, December 12, 2009
Forecast for Sunday 12/12
Today: Overcast and breezy with rain likely, steadiest from 10AM-1PM. Patchy freezing rain in the elevated valleys inland from the lake through midday. Precipitation may change to snow in the higher terrain during the mid to late afternoon, but little to no accumulation is expected. Wind gusts of 40-45 mph possible along the immediate lakeshore and in the higher terrain south of Buffalo during the morning. Highs ranging from 37 in Buffalo to 33 in the higher terrain.
Tonight: Overcast with patchy light snow and drizzle...becoming primarily drizzle after midnight. Pockets of freezing drizzle possible in the higher terrain south of Buffalo. Lows ranging from 33 in Buffalo to 29 in the higher terrain.
Tomorrow: Overcast with patchy drizzle. Pockets of freezing drizzle possible in the higher terrain south of Buffalo. Highs ranging from 36 in Buffalo to 32 in the higher terrain.
Tuesday: Overcast with patchy light snow and drizzle. Pockets of freezing drizzle possible in the higher terrain south of Buffalo. High near 36. Low near 33.
Wednesday: Mostly cloudy brisk and cold with occasional snow showers. High near 25. Low near 21.
Thursday: Partly to mostly cloudy and cold with a chance of snow showers, mainly in the higher terrain south of Buffalo. High near 21. Low near 15.
Friday: Partly to mostly cloudy and cold with a chance of snow showers, mainly in the higher terrain south of Buffalo. More widespread snow showers developing at night. High near 22. Low near 12.
Tonight: Overcast with patchy light snow and drizzle...becoming primarily drizzle after midnight. Pockets of freezing drizzle possible in the higher terrain south of Buffalo. Lows ranging from 33 in Buffalo to 29 in the higher terrain.
Tomorrow: Overcast with patchy drizzle. Pockets of freezing drizzle possible in the higher terrain south of Buffalo. Highs ranging from 36 in Buffalo to 32 in the higher terrain.
Tuesday: Overcast with patchy light snow and drizzle. Pockets of freezing drizzle possible in the higher terrain south of Buffalo. High near 36. Low near 33.
Wednesday: Mostly cloudy brisk and cold with occasional snow showers. High near 25. Low near 21.
Thursday: Partly to mostly cloudy and cold with a chance of snow showers, mainly in the higher terrain south of Buffalo. High near 21. Low near 15.
Friday: Partly to mostly cloudy and cold with a chance of snow showers, mainly in the higher terrain south of Buffalo. More widespread snow showers developing at night. High near 22. Low near 12.
Friday, December 11, 2009
Forecast for Saturday 12/12
Today: Lingering lake snows lifting north out of ski country, possibly reaching the Buffalo metro area late in the morning. Local accumulation of an inch or two possible. Skies clearing from south to north during the afternoon. Not as cold with highs ranging from 31 in Buffalo to 27 in the higher terrain.
Tonight: Mostly clear early in the evening with a rapid increase in cloud cover toward midnight. Becoming a bit breezy along the lakeshore and in the higher terrain south of Buffalo. Low near 20 in Buffalo but dropping well into the teens in Southern Tier valleys.
Tomorrow: Overcast with a period of snow and sleet likely, beginning during the mid to late morning and continuing through the first half of the afternoon. Precipitation may mix with or change to rain along the lakeshore. An inch or two of accumulation possible, mainly above 1000 feet in elevation. Breezy with highs ranging from 37 in Buffalo to 33 in the higher terrain.
Monday: Patchy light snow or freezing drizzle in the morning. A steadier snow arriving late in the day or at night. High near 36. Low near 32.
Tuesday: A chance of snow early in the morning, otherwise partly to mostly cloudy. Snow showers and locally heavier lake snows redeveloping at night. High near 35. Low near 30.
Wednesday: Partly to mostly cloudy and cold with a chance of snow showers and locally significant lake snows. High near 25. Low near 21.
Thursday: Partly to mostly cloudy and cold with a chance of snow showers and locally significant lake snows. High near 21. Low near 15.
Tonight: Mostly clear early in the evening with a rapid increase in cloud cover toward midnight. Becoming a bit breezy along the lakeshore and in the higher terrain south of Buffalo. Low near 20 in Buffalo but dropping well into the teens in Southern Tier valleys.
Tomorrow: Overcast with a period of snow and sleet likely, beginning during the mid to late morning and continuing through the first half of the afternoon. Precipitation may mix with or change to rain along the lakeshore. An inch or two of accumulation possible, mainly above 1000 feet in elevation. Breezy with highs ranging from 37 in Buffalo to 33 in the higher terrain.
Monday: Patchy light snow or freezing drizzle in the morning. A steadier snow arriving late in the day or at night. High near 36. Low near 32.
Tuesday: A chance of snow early in the morning, otherwise partly to mostly cloudy. Snow showers and locally heavier lake snows redeveloping at night. High near 35. Low near 30.
Wednesday: Partly to mostly cloudy and cold with a chance of snow showers and locally significant lake snows. High near 25. Low near 21.
Thursday: Partly to mostly cloudy and cold with a chance of snow showers and locally significant lake snows. High near 21. Low near 15.
Thursday, December 10, 2009
Forecast for Friday 12/11
Today: Heavy lake effect snow extending from northern Chautauqua County eastward across southern Erie and Wyoming Counties through mid-morning...then slowly settling south into ski country by early to mid-afternoon. Additional accumulation ranging from 3-6" across the south towns to 6-12" across the remainder of the region with locally heavier amounts...especially in the Boston Hills. Remaining very windy with occasional gusts to near 50 mph, resulting in extensive blowing and drifting with near blizzard conditions at times. Highs ranging from 21 in Buffalo to 17 in the higher terrain with wind chills ranging from 5 above to 5 below zero.
Tonight: Lake effect snow continuing across ski country with an additional 4-8" of accumulation. Partly to mostly cloudy across the rest of the region. Brisk and cold with areas of blowing and drifting snow. Temperatures holding steady in the upper teens and lower 20s.
Tomorrow: Lingering lake snows lifting northward out of ski country, possibly reaching the Buffalo metro area late in the morning. Local accumulation of an inch or two possible. Otherwise, mostly cloudy and not as cold with highs ranging from 31 in Buffalo to 27 in the higher terrain.
Sunday: Generally overcast with rain arriving late in the morning, possibly beginning as a period of snow. Patchy freezing rain possible in the higher terrain. High near 35. Low near 20.
Monday: Partly to mostly cloudy. High near 35. Low near 30.
Tuesday: Partly to mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers and localized lake snows, mainly later in the day. Becoming windy and colder. Early high near 35 with temperatures dropping into the 20s during the day.
Wednesday: Partly to mostly cloudy and cold with a chance of snow showers and localized lake snows. High near 25. Low near 21.
Tonight: Lake effect snow continuing across ski country with an additional 4-8" of accumulation. Partly to mostly cloudy across the rest of the region. Brisk and cold with areas of blowing and drifting snow. Temperatures holding steady in the upper teens and lower 20s.
Tomorrow: Lingering lake snows lifting northward out of ski country, possibly reaching the Buffalo metro area late in the morning. Local accumulation of an inch or two possible. Otherwise, mostly cloudy and not as cold with highs ranging from 31 in Buffalo to 27 in the higher terrain.
Sunday: Generally overcast with rain arriving late in the morning, possibly beginning as a period of snow. Patchy freezing rain possible in the higher terrain. High near 35. Low near 20.
Monday: Partly to mostly cloudy. High near 35. Low near 30.
Tuesday: Partly to mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers and localized lake snows, mainly later in the day. Becoming windy and colder. Early high near 35 with temperatures dropping into the 20s during the day.
Wednesday: Partly to mostly cloudy and cold with a chance of snow showers and localized lake snows. High near 25. Low near 21.
Wednesday, December 9, 2009
Forecast for Thursday 12/10
Today: Lake effect snow settling into northern Chautauqua, southern Erie, and western Wyoming Counties this morning...then lifting north and becoming focused from the Buffalo south towns eastward along the Wyoming/Genesee County line this afternoon. Snowfall rates may reach 2-3" per hour with thunder and lightning after 1PM. Around a foot of snow expected where the band becomes focused this afternoon with extensive blowing and drifting and near blizzard conditions at times. Remaining very windy with occasional gusts over 50 mph. Highs ranging from 25 in Buffalo to 21 in the higher terrain with wind chills in the single digits.
Tonight: Lake effect snow settling south into interior Chautauqua, northern Cattaraugus, and extreme southern Erie Counties...and becoming slightly less intense. 8-12" of accumulation expected where the band becomes focused...but an additional 4-8" is likely from the Buffalo south towns eastward along the Wyoming/Genesee County line before the band shifts south, bringing storm total accumulation up to 16-20" with local amounts to 2 feet. Remaining very windy with occasional gusts to near 50 mph, resulting in extensive blowing and drifting with near blizzard conditions at times. Lows ranging from 15 in Buffalo to 11 in the higher terrain with wind chills dropping to 5 to 10 below zero.
Tomorrow: Lake effect snow lifting north into extreme northern Chautauqua, southern Erie, and Wyoming Counties. An additional 4-8" is likely. Remaining very windy with occasional gusts to near 50 mph, resulting in extensive blowing and drifting with near blizzard conditions at times. Highs ranging from 21 in Buffalo to 17 in the higher terrain with wind chills ranging from 5 above to 5 below zero.
Tomorrow Night: Lake effect snow becoming focused across interior Chautauqua, Cattaraugus, northern Allegany, and extreme southern Erie and Wyoming Counties. An additional 4-8" is likely...bringing storm total accumulation up to 2 to 3 feet with locally higher amounts in extreme southern Erie and Wyoming Counties...and 15-25" with local amounts to 30" across interior Chautauqua and northern Cattaraugus Counties. Brisk and cold with areas of blowing and drifting snow. Temperatures holding steady in the upper teens and lower 20s.
Saturday: Lingering lake snows possible in ski country during the morning, otherwise partly to mostly cloudy and cold. Highs ranging from 27 in Buffalo to 23 in the higher terrain.
Sunday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Not quite as cold. High near 34. Low near 20.
Monday: Cloudy with a good chance of mixed precipitation...possibly changing to all snow late in the day or at night. High near 35. Low near 30.
Tuesday: A chance of snow in the morning, otherwise mostly cloudy. High near 35. Low near 30.
Tonight: Lake effect snow settling south into interior Chautauqua, northern Cattaraugus, and extreme southern Erie Counties...and becoming slightly less intense. 8-12" of accumulation expected where the band becomes focused...but an additional 4-8" is likely from the Buffalo south towns eastward along the Wyoming/Genesee County line before the band shifts south, bringing storm total accumulation up to 16-20" with local amounts to 2 feet. Remaining very windy with occasional gusts to near 50 mph, resulting in extensive blowing and drifting with near blizzard conditions at times. Lows ranging from 15 in Buffalo to 11 in the higher terrain with wind chills dropping to 5 to 10 below zero.
Tomorrow: Lake effect snow lifting north into extreme northern Chautauqua, southern Erie, and Wyoming Counties. An additional 4-8" is likely. Remaining very windy with occasional gusts to near 50 mph, resulting in extensive blowing and drifting with near blizzard conditions at times. Highs ranging from 21 in Buffalo to 17 in the higher terrain with wind chills ranging from 5 above to 5 below zero.
Tomorrow Night: Lake effect snow becoming focused across interior Chautauqua, Cattaraugus, northern Allegany, and extreme southern Erie and Wyoming Counties. An additional 4-8" is likely...bringing storm total accumulation up to 2 to 3 feet with locally higher amounts in extreme southern Erie and Wyoming Counties...and 15-25" with local amounts to 30" across interior Chautauqua and northern Cattaraugus Counties. Brisk and cold with areas of blowing and drifting snow. Temperatures holding steady in the upper teens and lower 20s.
Saturday: Lingering lake snows possible in ski country during the morning, otherwise partly to mostly cloudy and cold. Highs ranging from 27 in Buffalo to 23 in the higher terrain.
Sunday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Not quite as cold. High near 34. Low near 20.
Monday: Cloudy with a good chance of mixed precipitation...possibly changing to all snow late in the day or at night. High near 35. Low near 30.
Tuesday: A chance of snow in the morning, otherwise mostly cloudy. High near 35. Low near 30.
Forecast for Wednesday 12/9
Today: Rain likely along the Chautauqua County lakeshore with snow and sleet changing to rain elsewhere. Total accumulation of 1-4" expected in most areas...but locally up to 7" across the higher terrain well inland from the lake. Little to no accumulation along the Chautauqua County lakeshore. Precipitation tapering off by late this morning with mostly cloudy skies and a few spotty rain showers for the rest of the day. Very windy in the higher terrain south of Buffalo, especially this morning with gusts to near 60 mph at times. High near 40.
Tonight: Mostly cloudy and turning much colder with heavy lake snows initially developing near and north of the Buffalo metro area after midnight...then becoming focused from the Chautauqua County shoreline northeastward into central Erie County toward morning. 3-6" of accumulation by morning with extensive blowing and drifting and near blizzard conditions at times. A period of damaging winds likely this evening with gusts approaching 60-70 mph...but remaining very windy for the entire overnight period. Lows ranging from 23 in Buffalo to 19 in the higher terrain with wind chills dropping into the single digits.
Tomorrow: Heavy lake snows generally focused from the Chautauqua County shoreline northeastward into central Erie County. An additional 6-12" expected with locally heavier amounts. Extensive blowing and drifting with near blizzard conditions at times. Remaining very windy with occasional gusts over 50 mph. Highs ranging from 25 in Buffalo to 21 in the higher terrain with wind chills in the single digits.
Tomorrow Night: Heavy lake snows initially focused from the Chautauqua County shoreline northeastward into central Erie County...then settling into ski country late. An additional 4-8" possible with locally heavier amounts...bringing the storm total accumulation up to 1 to 2 feet. Extensive blowing and drifting with near blizzard conditions at times. Remaining very windy with occasional gusts to near 50 mph. Lows ranging from 13 in Buffalo to 9 in the higher terrain with wind chills dropping to 5-15 below zero.
Friday: Heavy lake snows continuing across ski country with an additional significant accumulation possible. Extensive blowing and drifting with near blizzard conditions at times. Partly to mostly cloudy and cold across the rest of the region. Remaining very windy with occasional gusts to near 50 mph. Highs ranging from 23 in Buffalo to 19 in the higher terrain with wind chills in the single digits.
Saturday: Heavy lake snows possible in ski country during the morning, otherwise partly sunny and not quite as cold. High near 31. Low near 21.
Sunday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. High near 34. Low near 25.
Monday: Partly cloudy and colder. High near 29. Low near 19.
Tonight: Mostly cloudy and turning much colder with heavy lake snows initially developing near and north of the Buffalo metro area after midnight...then becoming focused from the Chautauqua County shoreline northeastward into central Erie County toward morning. 3-6" of accumulation by morning with extensive blowing and drifting and near blizzard conditions at times. A period of damaging winds likely this evening with gusts approaching 60-70 mph...but remaining very windy for the entire overnight period. Lows ranging from 23 in Buffalo to 19 in the higher terrain with wind chills dropping into the single digits.
Tomorrow: Heavy lake snows generally focused from the Chautauqua County shoreline northeastward into central Erie County. An additional 6-12" expected with locally heavier amounts. Extensive blowing and drifting with near blizzard conditions at times. Remaining very windy with occasional gusts over 50 mph. Highs ranging from 25 in Buffalo to 21 in the higher terrain with wind chills in the single digits.
Tomorrow Night: Heavy lake snows initially focused from the Chautauqua County shoreline northeastward into central Erie County...then settling into ski country late. An additional 4-8" possible with locally heavier amounts...bringing the storm total accumulation up to 1 to 2 feet. Extensive blowing and drifting with near blizzard conditions at times. Remaining very windy with occasional gusts to near 50 mph. Lows ranging from 13 in Buffalo to 9 in the higher terrain with wind chills dropping to 5-15 below zero.
Friday: Heavy lake snows continuing across ski country with an additional significant accumulation possible. Extensive blowing and drifting with near blizzard conditions at times. Partly to mostly cloudy and cold across the rest of the region. Remaining very windy with occasional gusts to near 50 mph. Highs ranging from 23 in Buffalo to 19 in the higher terrain with wind chills in the single digits.
Saturday: Heavy lake snows possible in ski country during the morning, otherwise partly sunny and not quite as cold. High near 31. Low near 21.
Sunday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. High near 34. Low near 25.
Monday: Partly cloudy and colder. High near 29. Low near 19.
Tuesday, December 8, 2009
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