Tonight: Becoming mostly clear and cold! First hard freeze of the season with temps dropping to near 31F. OWD may dip into the 20s late if winds lighten up enough.
Tomorrow: A generally sunny start will yield to a mix of sun/clouds in the afternoon. Breezy and chilly with highs ranging from 46-50F.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly clear and cold. Low near 31F in Norwood Center...but as low as the mid 20s at OWD. Light winds will make the cold temps easier to take.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny and chilly, but with lighter wind speeds. High 46-50F.
Tuesday Night: Clear, still quite cold. Low near 34F in Norwood Center...upper 20s at OWD.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny, seasonably chilly. High 48-52F.
Preliminary Thoughts on the Late Week Storm
There are still many details that need to be ironed out, but the probability of an intense storm system impacting the NEUS in the THU/FRI timeframe appears to be increasing IMO. At the moment, I'm favoring a storm track to the west of New England...which would place us on the milder side of the storm's circulation with heavy rain/wind being the primary concern. Most of the models are depicting a scenario in which the surface low gets captured by the mid-latitude trough that ultimately cuts off in the GL/OV...forcing it to angle in toward the coastline on a SE-NW track. Climatologically, this fits the prototype for an SNE high wind event...and some of our most destructive wind storms have resulted from a rapidly intensifying surface low approaching SNE from the SE. I'm not saying that will necessarily be the case this time around, but it certainly bears watching. We will also have to be on guard for the potential development of a fine line of low-topped convection in the vicinity of the surface cold front, which may result in an enhanced high wind threat as it travels from W-E or SW-NE across the region during the day on Friday.
All of this could change if the storm track shifts dramatically east/west on future model runs...something that is certainly within the realm of possibility for a storm that is still 4-5 days out. But for now, I am leaning toward the scenario described above...and I do believe this has the potential to be a high impact event across southeast MA.
Sunday, October 31, 2010
Saturday, October 30, 2010
My Wx Notes: Saturday 10/30
Today: Generally sunny, a few wispy high clouds. Gusty SW wind likely to kick in by midday. High temps 56-60F.
Tonight: Mostly clear and breezy, much milder than last night. Temps holding near 50F for most of the night, but may quickly drop into the mid/upper 40s late depending on timing of FROPA.
Tomorrow: A sunny/milder start but stratocu likely to "bleed" southward from northern New England during the PM. Midday high as warm as 58-62F but temps likely to slip back through the 50s during the PM. Gusty NW wind developing by midday.
Tomorrow Night: Clearing skies, breezy and cold! Low near 31F.
Monday: Mix of sun/clouds (especially PM), breezy and chilly. High 46-50F.
Monday Night: Clear and cold, but much less wind. Low near 30F most spots, but wouldn't be shocked to see OWD dip as low as the mid 20s.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny and breezy, 46-50F again.
Tonight: Mostly clear and breezy, much milder than last night. Temps holding near 50F for most of the night, but may quickly drop into the mid/upper 40s late depending on timing of FROPA.
Tomorrow: A sunny/milder start but stratocu likely to "bleed" southward from northern New England during the PM. Midday high as warm as 58-62F but temps likely to slip back through the 50s during the PM. Gusty NW wind developing by midday.
Tomorrow Night: Clearing skies, breezy and cold! Low near 31F.
Monday: Mix of sun/clouds (especially PM), breezy and chilly. High 46-50F.
Monday Night: Clear and cold, but much less wind. Low near 30F most spots, but wouldn't be shocked to see OWD dip as low as the mid 20s.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny and breezy, 46-50F again.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)